Warming-Commitment

Climate-feedback diagnostic (Seinfeld & Pandis 2006 Ch. 23 §23.4 Eqs. 23.1-23.4 and Eq. 23.7 p. 1045) — the linear-response relation between a top-of-atmosphere radiative forcing perturbation ΔF and the equilibrium surface temperature change ΔT_s through the feedback-amplified climate sensitivity λ. Six observed-only algebraic equations on six state variables (ΔT_s the feedback-amplified equilibrium response, ΔT_0 the no-feedback Planck response, λ_0 the no-feedback sensitivity factor, ΔF_e the efficacy-weighted effective forcing, ΔF_r the forcing equivalent of realized warming, ΔT_unrealized the warming commitment) driven by five input parameters (ΔF the forcing perturbation, λ the feedback-amplified sensitivity, λ_CO2 the CO₂-doubling sensitivity reference, E_i the efficacy of the forcing agent, ΔT_r the realized warming to date) and two reference constants (ΔF_2xCO2 the CO₂-doubling radiative forcing, ΔT0_2xCO2 the no-feedback temperature change for CO₂ doubling). No time derivatives, no PDE, no coupling. Migrated from GasChem.jl@8c12c048 src/climate_forcing.jl:32 (`ClimateFeedback` @component). The component extends the no-feedback Planck response of the sibling `ClimateSensitivity` model (components/gaschem/radiation/climate_sensitivity.esm, S&P §4.2 Eqs. 4.8-4.10) by introducing the feedback-amplified sensitivity factor λ and the warming-commitment relation ΔT_unrealized = (ΔF - ΔF_r)·λ that captures the lag between achieved (ΔT_r) and equilibrium (ΔT_s) warming under a non-zero forcing perturbation. At Earth's nominal 2×CO₂ forcing ΔF = 3.7 W/m² and λ = 0.8 K·m²/W (IPCC AR4 central estimate), the component reproduces the textbook canonical ΔT_s ≈ 2.96 K equilibrium warming (S&P Page 1040), λ_0 ≈ 0.338 K·m²/W no-feedback Planck response, and ΔT_unrealized ≈ 0.49 K warming commitment for the present-day p. 1045 scenario (λ = 0.7, ΔF = 1.7, ΔT_r = 0.7).